Strategies trading betfair

Posted: ekl Date of post: 18.06.2017

Betfair and Betfair Touch Trading Tips First, we look at UK Horse racing.

strategies trading betfair

UK horse racing gets lots of liquidity and is good for swing trading. Particularly within an hour of the race starting. This is good because any outstanding lay or back bets, needed to balance a trade, will always be matched.

Betfair Football Trading Strategies - Pro trader - Caan Berry

We also assume that if you are reading this article that you already have a Betfair account. Betfair is by far the biggest and busiest exchange in the world, and it is essential that you have an account. If you want to earn money from trading on Betfair and get to a stage where you are your own boss then we recommend you check out Tony Hargraves website, www.

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If you would rather just look for profitable spots, here is a Betfair trading strategy that can be used to identify horses who odds are expect to shorten. Horses like this are sometimes called steamers where the odds shorten significantly. It is not necessary to know anything about horse racing to following a strategy like this.

The expectation is that the odds on Betfair will get closer to the average odds offered by traditional bookmakers. This strategy aims to find selections where the difference between the odds is too large. The free horse racing tips section includes a summary of the most tipped horses. Racing during the day can be investigated, in which case, it is advisable to look early in the morning. Tips for most up coming major horse racing events can be accessed in the ante-post section.

This enables a swing trade to be opened well in advance of the race starting if necessary. The OLGB rating uses OLBG Tips percentages to calculate win probabilities and compares these with bookie odds, which gives an indication if there is value in the odds.

If there is value in the odds they are most likely to shorten. Other tipsters can be used to verify selections. Tips from websites like OLBG might not be enough because the tipster might not have a large enough following to influence the price. The thing about newspaper tipsters is that they get a good readership.

For instance, Steve Simpson of the Blackpool Gazette, has been the most profitable from the Local press. Marlborough, from the daily telegraph has also been successful recently.

In any case, once a horse has been selected a back bet is placed on the selection as early as possible which is determined by the liquidity in the market and the size of the stake. Wait for the odds to shorten on the day of the race.

Another method is to compare the betting forecast on Racing post, with the average bookmaker odds using Oddschecker, and finally the odds available on Betfair. Racing Post has a section called tomorrows cards which lists all the races for the following day. Underneath is the betting forecast which uses the Racing Post database and rankings figures to make an odds prediction.

If the odds on Betfair are a lot higher than those of bookmakers and the Racing Post forecast it could be a good selection. Again a back bet is placed with a lay bet to follow after the odds have shortened. No selection system is infallible. The trader should set a stop loss.

Excel spreadsheets and strategies for Betfair trading

The trade would be closed by placing the corresponding back or lay bet, which, would result in a small loss. Furthermore it is very important that trades are not closed before the horse race starts. After the race starts odds can move wildly and quickly, which can result in sudden loses. Completing trades before the race starts avoids large price movements and prevents any trades from riding as plain bets. In summary this Betfair trading strategy for UK horse racing is one of many available.

The expectation is that the odds will shorten to reflect that of the market average making an opportunity to profit by trading the odds. BECOME A BETFAIR TRADING MASTER!!!

Learn Betfair trading from the best in the business! Using this strategy you can Lay several scores in the Correct Score market, or several players in the First Goal Scorer market, and win on every Lay except your FIRST Lay. If you were Laying the Correct Score Market: The only way these Lays can lose is if you happen to pick the winning score line with your FIRST Lay. Additionally, as with all other Laying strategies that involve more than one Lay, every Lay you make reduces your liabilities.

strategies trading betfair

If the game ends with a score that you have not Layed, you will have no payout whatsoever. Remember, your only losing Lay will be on the FIRST score line that you Lay. You will win on all the others. It is exactly the same if you Lay players in the First Goal Scorer Market.

Football Trading Strategy on Betfair - By Caan Berry

You could also use this spreadsheet to Lay a number of horses in a horse race, golfers in a golf tournament, darts players in a darts competition etc. In a horse race, Bookies may Lay a few runners against the field, but another strategy is to Lay several runners but make only one targeted runner a loser. With this 1 Loser strategy, we are doing the same thing, but in the Correct Score Market of a football game on Betfair.

We are not Laying the whole field, but just a few of the runners score lines.

Cold Trading on Betfair

Using this 1 Loser strategy, we win on all score lines except one. If we stake correctly, we can reduce our liabilities on one targeted score line by laying other score lines. This is not the same as Laying a single score line.

Using this 1 Loser Strategy: We could Lay 4 score lines for example , but only one will make a loss for us. We Lay our First score line, which could be any one of the Then we Lay a 2nd score line, a 3rd, and a 4th. We could carry on laying more score lines if we wish.

These 2nd, 3rd, and 4th Lays reduce our liabilities on our First Lay, just as any normal series of Lays would do, but if we stake correctly: If our First score line wins, we make a loss, but our liabilities have been reduced by the successful lays on score lines 2, 3 and 4. The shortest priced score line may be You may choose to make that your first Lay, and Lay all other scores up to Providing the game does not end with a score of , you will make a profit on every other Lay.

You will only lose if the game ends , but your liabilities will have been reduced by your Lays on the other scores up to You may choose some other score for your First Lay such as , and Lay some other scores, such as , , , , If the game does not end , but ends with another score that you have Layed , , , , , you make a profit on your Lays.

Your only payout would be on , but your liabilities will have been reduced by your Lays on , , , , This strategy can be used to lay 2 or more score lines to lose.

Once again, we do not Lay the whole field, but a few score lines.. The procedure is exactly the same, but this time, 2 score lines are targeted to lose.

strategies trading betfair

Liabilities on score lines 1 and 2 will be reduced by the additional Lays on score lines 3 upwards. This strategy of targeting 2 score lines, has 2 advantages, but one additional drawback: A large slice of liability is reduced on score line 2 by the stake on score line 1. This strategy is particularly effective if score lines 1 and 2 are at short odds. If the winner does NOT come from the score lines that we have Layed, all our Lays are successful and we clean up, with no payout.

If the winner comes from score lines 4, 5, 6, etc. If one of the first 2 score lines wins, we make a loss, but our liabilities have been reduced by the successful lays on the other score lines, particularly score line 1 or score line 2.

This is not the same as just Laying 2 score lines. We are reducing our liabilities on 2 targeted score lines by laying lesser amounts on additional score lines.

Using any of the basic systems on this page will yield you a modest return, over time. They are quite labour-intensive though and you will have a great deal more success using Sports Trader or Lucky 7 Naps Read our review. Drop Us A Line About Us Terms Privacy. Home Free Bets Free Tipsters New Offers Winning Tipsters Streaming Strategy Reviews.

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